UFC 135 Preview and Predictions!
I’ll be doing my “official” blog reboot with a more introspective entry, but for now, it’s fight night!! I’m going to get right into it as the event is already started and I’m watching the Prelims on Spike.
Mark Hunt vs. Ben Rothwell
In the first fight of the night there better be reinforced panels used for the cage, because man there’s gonna be a lot of beef in the ring. Both guys weighted in at the limit yesterday at weigh-ins of 265 and both will probably come in more than that at the fight. I think that’s going to play a huge difference in this fight as traditionally Mark Hunt has always come in the bigger stronger man, especially against opponents in his PRIDE days. Not tonight. Rothwell, while not as dangerous a striker as the K-1 champion Mark Hunt with his granite hands and his iron jaw, is a much better grappler than Hunt. Rothwell, who is also the bigger man should be able to neutralize most of Hunts attack with superior grappling and the much longer reach. This fight could easily go 10 seconds, but I think it’s going to be a Rothwell grinding win, and end sometime in the 3rd round.
Result - Rothwell 3rd Round TKO
Nate Diaz vs Takenori Gomi
I really like this matchup, it has the potential to be Fight of the Night. I think Diaz has the advantage in two particular aspects which will guide him to victory, ground grappling, and the length and reach advantage of his strikes. Gomi has iron hands, and is very capable of stopping Diaz with his strikes, however, we’ve seen Gomi in his last few fights have trouble with strikers who can keep him out of his comfort zone striking and can neutralize his very good ground and pound. I don’t see that much changing, because Diaz is excellent at fighting off his back, and will be able to in my opinion keep Gomi on the outside so he cannot land the hooks and body blows that made him so dangerous in his PRIDE days. Either way, expect fireworks as two of the most aggressive and fearless lightweights step in for this one.
Result - Diaz 2nd Round Submission
Travis Browne vs Rob Broughton
A underrated matchup between two up and comers in the heavyweight division. Travis Browne has been on a roll lately finishing 4 of his last 5 fights all in the UFC by knockout. Rob Broughton, who just made his UFC debut in his last fight looked excellent winning, and will bring almost twice the experience of Browne into this fight. Browne’s athleticism and punching power cannot be underestimated however, and in the battle of strikers I have to give the edge to Browne. Broughton needs to take Browne out of his comfort zone on the feet if he wants to have any shot at pulling the upset over the Hawaiian. That being said, I think it’s going to be a slobberknocker and Browne is going to come up on top.
Result - Browne 3rd Round KO
Josh Koscheck vs Matt Hughes
I wish I could pick Matt Hughes in this one, as I really dislike Josh Koscheck, but unfortunately the thinking man in me overrides the gambler. Koscheck is better on paper in everything at this point in both men’s careers, Wrestling, Striking and Kos has the advantage in the power realm as he has been known to one punch KO people. Hughes on the other hand has looked good in some of his fights and terrible in some of them, inconsistancy especially against BJ Penn has cost him. I think Hughes, while one of the greatest of all time, has lost a step, has lost the hunger that made him the champion, and it’s going to be hard to overcome a stronger, faster younger man in Koscheck.
Result - Josh Koscheck by Decision
Jon Jones vs Rampage Jackson
I am torn in this fight as I really like both fighters. Most experts have Jones to win in a walk almost against the former PRIDE and UFC champion, but I don’t have it quite so one sided. I think Rampage brings a lot of interesting things to this fight, while in the lead up to this fight, I cannot shake the feeling that Jones might be pegged by Rampage correctly as a champion who only got the belt because of the surgery on both knees and elbow and subsequent rust of Shogun Rua. Rampage looked in INCREDIBLE shape at the weigh-ins yesterday, and he has looked relaxed and ready all week, while Jones has looked tense in most situations or almost had a fake calm projecting off of him. I think Jones is the better all around fighter, and has the clear advantage on the ground, but striking is a lot closer than again, people would give Rampage credit for. Rampage is going to test Jones chin, and I would be shocked that if some point in the fight, Jones doesn’t feel that power, in a way he has never felt before. It’s going to be interesting to see how the young champion deals with that kind of striking, something he simply has never faced before. I am picking Jones to win, but if I were a betting man, at the odds vegas is giving right now, 5 to 1, I would definitely bet on Rampage, as I think those are way way off. I could definitely see the upset, but I’m gonna go with the safe pick. Either way, great match, and should be very exciting.
Result - Jon Jones 4th Round Ground and Pound TKO
Be back tomorrow with something less jockish. Thanks for reading!
